Recast Blog:
Measure What Matters

Creative performance drives 47% of sales: why is it missing from most models?

By / Marketing Mix Modeling

In 2017 Nielson conducted a study of 500 advertising campaigns across all major media platforms: TV, digital, magazines and radio. They found that a remarkable 47% of the campaign’s contribution to sales was attributable to Creative. A further 15% came from Brand, which we can think of as the culmination of past creative efforts. Despite …

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You’re probably modeling seasonality the wrong way

By / Marketing Mix Modeling, Recast Methodology, Top Posts

Nearly every business has an annual cycle: seasons where the business waxes or wanes, or specific dates like Cyber Monday, Memorial Day, or Mother’s Day, which see enormous spikes in sales. Imagine you have a business that sells hot wings — when do you think the busiest time of the year would be? Football season …

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Introduction to Bayesian Methods for MMM

By / Marketing Mix Modeling, Recast Methodology

Introduction Note: this post was developed in partnership with Mike Taylor over at Vexpower where they’re working to educate marketers on how to do effective media mix modeling. This post gets a bit into the weeds, so if you want a more straightforward overview, definitely go check out the companion post over there. At Recast we use Bayesian techniques …

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