One commonly asked question from clients just getting started with Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM), is how much data they need to build a model. It’s a particularly important question in B2B, where there isn’t always the volume that large scale consumer brands enjoy. In theory there’s no ‘right’ answer to this question, because like most …
How much data do you need for your Marketing Mix Model? Read More »
At Recast I have the privilege and challenge of introducing advanced statistical concepts to people who have a strong desire to be more data driven, but who do not have much of a background in formal statistics. While word has gotten out that “statistical significance” isn’t all it’s cracked up to be, and best practices …
Forecasting isn’t a hobby at Uber, it’s core to their business. Time series models help Uber predict demand so they know where to send their drivers, forecast hardware and computation requirements so their servers don’t go down, and allocate billions of dollars in annual marketing budget, the use case we are most interested in. Marketing …
Occasionally, prospective customers react with shock when we tell them that we don’t “control for the COVID pandemic”. “The pandemic really impacted our business, so how can your model be accurate if you don’t control for Covid?” they ask. The answer is simple: Recast models changes in the macro-environment, but doesn’t control for them. This …
For many businesses, email programs are a huge revenue generator. For every $1 marketers spend on email marketing, they receive $36 in return, according to 2,000 marketers who responded to Litmus’ 2020 State of Email Survey. Emails play the important role of nursing customers along their buying journey, drive retention, and cross-sell and up-sell customers …
After Apple’s iOS14 update and Facebook’s release of the Robyn Media Mix Modeling tool, everyone has been awaiting Google’s response. Because it uses aggregate data, MMM is a solution to the death of tracking and the cookie-less future, so it’s future-proof to any changes in the rules, whether they come from Apple or government legislation. …
Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) has been around since the 1960s, where it was used to correlate spikes and dips in sales to marketing activity. There has been a recent resurgence of interest in marketing mix modeling, as consumers increasingly opt out of digital tracking and digital-first brands mature to offline channels. We’re now living through …
Marketing Mix Modeling Software: Build vs Buy Calculator Read More »
At Recast, we often speak with practitioners who are trying to build their own MMM in-house. While we think there are great reasons to use a tool like Recast instead of building in-house, many people want to try it themselves before committing to working with a partner. In this post, I’ll lay out the check-list …
Marketing mix modeling is hard. Trust us. When we were starting Recast, we thought it’d be easy: we’d use some off-the-shelf Bayesian time-series models and six months later we’d have a top-shelf model. But unfortunately, it didn’t work like that. It took us multiple years of PhD-level research time to get to a model that …
In 2017 Nielson conducted a study of 500 advertising campaigns across all major media platforms: TV, digital, magazines and radio. They found that a remarkable 47% of the campaign’s contribution to sales was attributable to Creative. A further 15% came from Brand, which we can think of as the culmination of past creative efforts. Despite …
Creative performance drives 47% of sales: why is it missing from most models? Read More »
