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Designing Incrementality Experiments During the Holidays

Designing incrementality experiments can be tricky for businesses that have substantial amounts of natural or induced seasonality in their business.  Big events like black friday or cyber monday discounts can be make-or-break for certain businesses and so it can be critical to understand the incrementality of advertising during this time […]

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Average vs marginal ROI in MMM: when to use each (and why both matter for your budget)

It’s tempting to evaluate a channel by its average ROI. If you spend $100,000 on Facebook and the model says that spend drove an additional $200,000 in revenue, that 2× return looks great. But average ROI is a backward‑looking measure. It tells you how the last $100,000 performed — not

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What Are Priors in MMM – And Why They’re Difficult to Get Right (But You Need To)

How do you make sure your model doesn’t spit out negative ROIs on channels that are clearly working? Or attribute three times more revenue than your business actually drove? Or collapse when two correlated channels move together? These are the kinds of problems priors are meant to help solve. Priors

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Recast article: How Omnichannel Brands Leverage Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM).

How Omnichannel Brands Leverage Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM)

In today’s rapidly evolving retail environment, it can be a real challenge for omnichannel brands to measure the incremental impact of their marketing efforts. The modern customer journey spans multiple touchpoints — a consumer might browse for a product category online, see a TV ad, get driven to an owned/D2C

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