Mike Taylor

How Uber Orbit Works

Forecasting isn’t a hobby at Uber, it’s core to their business. Time series models help Uber predict demand so they know where to send their drivers, forecast hardware and computation requirements so their servers don’t go down, and allocate billions of dollars in annual marketing budget, the use case we are most interested in. Marketing …

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Creative performance drives 47% of sales: why is it missing from most models?

In 2017 Nielson conducted a study of 500 advertising campaigns across all major media platforms: TV, digital, magazines and radio. They found that a remarkable 47% of the campaign’s contribution to sales was attributable to Creative. A further 15% came from Brand, which we can think of as the culmination of past creative efforts. Despite …

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